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  • But the one-play TD rate from the 25 is very low - <a href="http://www.advancednflstats.com/2012/08/1-play-touchdown-probability.html">http://www.advancednflstats.com/2012/08/1-play-touchdown-probability.html</a> - less that 5% (the 4th down graph is the most direct comparison, as it is also a do-or-die situation, but not the same as there is also the ability to just get a first down).
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