A contraction> seems likely anyways. . .There is an article in the latest _Time_ magazine --How to Save a Trillion Dollars" by Mark Thompson( <a href="http://www.time.com/time/politics/article/0,8599,2065108,00.html">http://www.time.com/time/politics/article/0,8599,2065108,00.html</a> )that has some interesting figures.