http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#value | - is into doubt: the super-powerful extraterrestrial can now explain everything God can, given not-M. So the probability of God given the evidence is just the probability there was a miracle given the evidence (1/4) plus the probability there is a God but no miracle given the evidence (quite small), so the posterior probability there is a God is less than 1/2.
|