| http://www.w3.org/ns/prov#value | - anything you do in that situation is a good idea. going for 4th down is not 'terribly different' from simply taking a knee on 4th down.punting on 3rd down probably would not make much of a difference. nor would a FG on 3rd down. obviously, there are several insane plays that could get a coach fired that would not have significantly changed the win probability.That is the context of the question.a
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